Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 10.579275 11.749549 13.008809 14.466712 16.110786 17.910447 20.033701
2025-08-17 8.573446 10.133554 11.933316 14.171736 16.893058 20.109162 24.219989
2025-08-24 7.195492 8.962727 11.125445 13.986505 17.701036 22.399964 28.856841
2025-08-31 6.214566 8.098907 10.526183 13.916283 18.583007 24.860522 34.078589
2025-09-07 5.592188 7.587682 10.279041 14.227731 19.963577 28.132783 40.903897
2025-09-14 4.965140 6.975196 9.796354 14.117901 20.701200 30.569208 46.897852
2025-09-21 4.404353 6.378845 9.249028 13.817481 21.080360 32.483354 52.361445
2025-09-28 3.987581 5.938676 8.867834 13.698863 21.691953 34.802564 58.823609
2025-10-05 3.771579 5.773099 8.875103 14.175234 23.302457 38.950701 69.118574
2025-10-12 3.570696 5.605699 8.853985 14.590287 24.847837 43.188987 80.320435
2025-10-19 3.330647 5.348121 8.654501 14.669585 25.799683 46.481423 90.287874
2025-10-26 3.078712 5.044893 8.344827 14.512460 26.287110 48.955736 99.032939
2025-11-02 2.833529 4.735846 8.003763 14.275904 26.626271 51.258384 108.025611
2025-11-09 2.613085 4.450059 7.676350 14.027897 26.912636 53.506072 117.384814
2025-11-16 2.428913 4.212048 7.411689 13.868662 27.355376 56.148966 128.226591
2025-11-23 2.277449 4.019646 7.211972 13.812602 28.002547 59.333487 141.077475
2025-11-30 2.186795 3.931300 7.198651 14.129299 29.490303 64.644756 160.542754
2025-12-07 2.054770 3.753001 6.994496 14.024746 30.027715 67.825473 175.096818
2025-12-14 1.914112 3.546356 6.715606 13.729000 30.086451 69.855869 186.930125
2025-12-21 1.805166 3.392858 6.529163 13.612613 30.547186 72.957618 202.611906
2025-12-28 1.762893 3.368584 6.604105 14.086420 32.497835 80.237686 232.858825
2026-01-04 1.716763 3.332402 6.650292 14.499023 34.356776 87.615296 265.513212
2026-01-11 1.644234 3.235733 6.558771 14.578035 35.372588 92.845738 292.537125